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Impact Forecasting April 2019

US thunderstorm activity results in multi-billion dollar losses, according to Aon catastrophe report

Tornado touchdowns in April at highest level for month since 2011

CHICAGO, May 13, 2019 – Aon plc (NYSE:AON), a leading global professional services firm providing a broad range of risk, retirement and health solutions, today launches the latest edition of its monthly Global Catastrophe Recap report, which evaluates the impact of the natural disaster events that occurred worldwide during April 2019.

The report reveals that nearly 250 tornadoes touched down in the United States during the month – the most for April since 2011 – contributing to multi-billion-dollar thunderstorm economic losses. The first of two major tornado outbreaks swept across southern and eastern sections of the U.S. from April 13-15, killing at least nine people and causing widespread damage. The outbreak was marked by 70 tornado touchdowns, up to baseball-sized hail, and damaging straight line winds gusting to 100 mph (160 kph) across the hardest-hit states of Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, and further eastward into the Midwest, Southeast, and Mid-Atlantic.

Total economic losses were estimated at up to USD925 million, with insurers covering approximately USD700 million of the cost.

The second major tornado outbreak impacted central and eastern sections of the U.S. between April 17-19, killing at least four people. The outbreak comprised at least 96 tornadoes across a dozen states. Nearly half of the twisters were recorded in Mississippi; while widespread reports of damaging straight-line winds and large hail also occurred. Total economic losses were expected to reach into the hundreds of millions (USD), with a majority of the costs being insured.

Steve Bowen, Director and Meteorologist within Aon’s Impact Forecasting team, said: “April is often defined by severe convective storms across North America. While thunderstorms produced notable tornado, hail, and non-tornadic wind damage in the United States, there was particular focus on widespread flooding in the U.S. and Canada. The multi-billion-dollar uninsured cost of the flood events – including those in the Missouri, Mississippi, St. Lawrence, Ottawa, and Saint John River Basins – has once again exposed the existing protection gap within mature insurance markets for a specific peril. Determining best practice approaches to understand flood risk and further encourage insurance take-up should help lower this gap and minimize the financial burden on affected residents.”

Other natural catastrophe events to have occurred elsewhere during May include:

  • Torrential rainfall in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, killed at least 10 people and damaging residential and commercial properties, vehicles and infrastructure. Economic damage was forecast in the millions (USD).
  • The South African provinces of KwaZulu-Natal, Eastern Cape and the Free State were hit by widespread flooding and mudslides following heavy rainfall. At least 87 people died, and local infrastructure suffered notable damage. The economic cost in Durban alone was ZAR660 million (USD50 million).
  • Heavy rains and flash flooding impacted northwestern and southern Pakistan. At least 20 people were killed in Balochistan and South Waziristan.
  • A storm system – known locally as a western disturbance – resulted in numerous clusters of thunderstorms across parts of Afghanistan, Pakistan, and northern India, killing at least 146 people and causing extensive damage to residential and commercial property, infrastructure, and cropland. Economic losses were expected to reach into the millions of dollars (USD).

To view the full Impact Forecasting April 2019 Global Catastrophe Recap report, please follow the link:

http://thoughtleadership.aonbenfield.com/Documents/20190508-analytics-if-april-global-recap.pdf

Along with the report, users can access current and historical natural catastrophe data and event analysis on Impact Forecasting’s Catastrophe Insight website, which is updated bi-monthly as new data become available:

http://catastropheinsight.aon.com

Further information

For further information please contact the Reinsurance Solutions PR team: Andrew Wragg (+44 207 522 8183 / 07595 217168) David Bogg or Alexandra Lewis

Follow Aon on Twitter: https://twitter.com/Aon_plc

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Notes to Editors

About Aon

Aon plc (NYSE:AON) is a leading global professional services firm providing a broad range of risk, retirement and health solutions. Our 50,000 colleagues in 120 countries empower results for clients by using proprietary data and analytics to deliver insights that reduce volatility and improve performance.

Aon announced in May 2018 it will retire the business unit brands of Aon Benfield and Aon Risk Solutions, which follows the retirement of the Aon Hewitt business unit brand in 2017. This move was designed to increase the rate of innovation across the firm and make it easier for colleagues to work together to bring the best of Aon to clients. Aon has five specific global solution lines: Commercial Risk Solutions, Reinsurance Solutions, Retirement Solutions, Health Solutions and Data & Analytic Services.

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