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People Risk Ratings

Strong government support and talent development facilities lower people risk in Zurich


The 2012 global study found London, United Kingdom to be the city with the lowest people risk in Europe and Kiev, Ukraine to be the highest risk, according to Aon Hewitt, the global human resources business of Aon plc (NYSE: AON).
Zurich is ranked 14th among the 131 cities covered in the People Risk Index, at the same rank as the North American city of San Francisco. Among the 31 European cities in the index, Zurich is ranked 3rd, among the five lowest risk cities in Europe which includes London, Copenhagen, Stockholm and Amsterdam. Of the five categories of people risk measured in the index, Aon Hewitt found that Zurich has the highest risk for demographics and relatively low risk in the areas of education, talent development and employment practices. The risk in the areas of education, talent development and employment practices are comparable to London the lowest risk city in Europe.

Breaking Down Key People Risk Factors

The following are some additional key findings of the people risk factors are highlighted below.

Demographics risks

Demographics risks are those associated with labor supply, the economy and the society.

Among the five people risk areas, Zurich has the highest risk for demographics. This high risk can be attributed to its relatively small working age population size in the metropolitan area at around 0.48 million. This is situation is further exacerbated by the ageing population in the country with almost 21.3% of the population above the age of 64. The availability of the future working age population is also projected to decline by almost 6% in the next 10 years. These demographic trends can potentially limit the size of the local talent pool, making staff resourcing a challenge.

Government Support:

Risks associated with government policies that help or hinder the management of people.

Zurich has low risks in terms of government support. Risk related to politics and terrorism is very low and organizations operating in Zurich can expect to face low risk when dealing with government agencies as they are transparent and non-confrontational. With the relatively stable economy despite the ongoing euro-zone turmoil, Zurich s risk associated with workforce planning is comparatively lower than its neighbors, thus better allowing organizations to forecast future workforce requirements. The incidence of crime and violence is moderately low, reducing the possible risks to organizations in terms of workforce productivity and morale.

Education:

Risks associated with finding qualified professionals.

The education risk in Zurich is low, on par with London. The education capacity has the ability to keep up with the market demand for talents at different levels from entry-level skilled technicians to professionals. Secondary school enrollment is high at around 95%. Tertiary school enrollment at around 55%, however, is lower than some of the European cities in Scandinavia such as Copenhagen. Based on Aon Hewitt analysis, there is medium-low risk associated with education spending, estimated at between USD1, 500 to USD2, 000 per capita annually. However, education spending is set to increase with the submitted budget of CHF 24 billion for the Promotion of Education, Research and Innovation (ERI) system for 2013-2016 which would lead to a growth of 3.7% in funding the ERI. This indicates the Swiss governments emphasis on ensuring that Switzerland remains a competitive location in terms of talent.

Talent Development:

Risks associated with the quality and availability of adequate recruiting and training resources.

Zurich has low risks associated with talent development. Aon Hewitt analysis showed that Zurich has a good availability of good quality entry-level talents and managerial-level talents. This can be attributed to the availability of quality external training resources and renowned institutions for management training, even within the country (e.g. ETH Zurich and IMD). Furthermore, the government has displayed its focus on further investing in education and talent development facilities through ERI. As part of the ERI system, the government has also identified the need to satisfy the demand for workers with general education or vocational and professional education and training (VET/PET) qualifications . The multilingual workforce in Switzerland also reduces the risk for employers as they will have more flexibility in teaming and relocating their employees in an international environment. Most professionals and managers can speak English and other regional languages such as French, German and Italian. The risk of brain drain is also lower indicating the availability of talent due to the locations propensity to attract and retain talent. The latest release by the Swiss Federal Statistical Office also indicated that up to 80% of the current population growth is due to net migration into the country.

Employment Practices:

Risks associated with employing people at a given location, such as health care and retirement benefits, occupational health and safety, and equal opportunity.

Zurich has low risk associated with employment practices. The labor relations environment is positive and work stoppages and worker grievances requiring outside intervention are rare as labor management relations are co-operative in Switzerland. Statutory restrictions on redundancy are liberal and not onerous and companies generally have flexibility in reducing personnel costs when restructuring or downsizing, thus reducing the redeployment risk for employers. The level of professionalism in terms of equal opportunities is reliable. The government-mandated pension is reliable, with both employer and employee contributions. In terms of healthcare benefits, government-provided healthcare is good, with government regulation requiring mandatory membership in a health insurance fund and employers are not required by law to provide medical care benefits.

 

To find out more about the 2012 People Risk Index, and to obtain a copy of the 2012 People Risk Index Ratings, please visit http://www.aonpeoplerisk.com or read our press release (German or French).


About Aon Hewitt s People Risk Index
The results are based on research conducted during a six-month period by the Aon Hewitt s Regional Talent & Rewards Analytics Center, Asia Pacific. Data from more than 100 statistical sources provide the quantitative basis for the ratings, which were augmented by the assessment of Aon Hewitt s local and regional human resources experts from around the world.

The 131 cities were selected based on population size, rate of population growth, level of business investment and geographic spread among the cities covered.  

Aon Hewitt s People Risk Index assigned ratings relative to risk for 30 qualitative and quantitative factors across five broad areas: demographics; education; government support; talent development; and employment practices. Each of the 30 factors has a scale from 1 (minimal risk) to 10 (extreme risk). Employment Practices area has 10 factors that are weighted by 50 percent. Thus, the overall ratings are from 25 to 250, where 25 is minimal or no risk and 250 is extreme risk.

 

10 Lowest Risk Cities
 

 Ranking1

City

Rating2

 4

London

73

9

Copenhagen

78

14

Zurich

82

16

Stockholm

83

19

Oslo

84

19

Amsterdam

84

32

Helsinki

91

33

Dublin

92

34

Manchester

93

37

Paris

95

 

10 Highest Risk Cities
 

Ranking1

City

Rating2

67

Budapest

134

68

Rome

138

88

Istanbul

149

90

Moscow

150

102

Bucharest

154

104

St. Petersburg

155

106

Sofia

158

107

Athens

160

112

Belgrade

165

116

Kiev

168

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1 Out of 131 cities worldwide in People Risk Index 2012

2 Based on a rating of 30 factors across 5 categories of risk

 

European Cities People Risk Rankings by Area of Risk
 

Ranking 2012

City

Rating 2012

Demographics

Government Support

Education System

Talent Development

Employment Practices

4

London

73

21

16

13

10

13

9

Copenhagen

78

29

12

10

11

16

14

Zurich

82

31

13

14

10

14

16

Stockholm

83

30

16

9

11

17

19

Oslo

84

28

14

9

14

19

19

Amsterdam

84

31

14

10

9

20

32

Helsinki

91

33

15

8

15

20

33

Dublin

92

26

19

12

16

19

34

Manchester

93

27

16

15

19

16

37

Paris

95

26

19

14

14

22

38

Brussels

96

30

23

11

12

20

38

Vienna

96

28

17

14

17

20

41

Berlin

99

31

17

16

14

21

44

Frankfurt

101

32

17

16

16

20

46

Madrid

110

25

25

17

21

22

47

Barcelona

112

26

25

19

19

23

51

Prague

115

34

22

16

21

22

57

Warsaw

122

30

23

15

30

24

58

Lisbon

128

29

28

18

28

25

58

Milan

128

31

26

19

26

26

62

Krakow

130

32

23

21

29

25

67

Budapest

134

31

27

17

33

26

68

Rome

138

33

27

20

30

28

88

Istanbul

149

19

35

29

35

31

90

Moscow

150

31

34

18

33

34

102

Bucharest

154

37

32

23

33

29

104

St. Petersburg

155

35

34

18

33

35

106

Sofia

158

42

31

23

36

26

107

Athens

160

33

39

19

38

31

112

Belgrade

165

37

36

24

40

28

116

Kiev

168

39

36

19

40

34